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Thanks to disciple for the banner.
Mandatory firebathero celebration video.
Ironically, firebathero won't be in this season's MSL (for the first time in over two-to-three years in fact), but there are a ton of other great players - new and old - that will be participating in this season's MSL. Here is the current list of 32:The Swarm
Kwanro, ZerO, Calm, Jaedong, EffOrt, Hyuk, type-b, Saint, firefist, by.hero, July, Crazy-hydra, Shine, hyvaa, sAviOr, Hogil
The Men. And Bogus.
Canata, Iris, Hwasin, Flash, RuBy, fOrGG, Light, Bogus
The Dragons Plus 1...2...3
Bisu, Stats, Movie, BeSt, Stork, Kal, JangBi, GuemChi
Player Impressions
I think the first thing that obviously sticks out is the fact that there are sixteen Zergs in this season's MSL. When sAviOr said "I will destroy everyone in 2009", he obviously was talking about the swarm. Some of the faces are really surprising: July, despite being the legend that he is, hasn't seen any Proleague play for the majority of the year, firefist came completely out of nowhere, and Crazy-hydra, who has been playing just okay in Proleague, is the obvious odd man-out here, and most likely will be cannon-fodder for the rest of the 31.
Perhaps even more surprising is BeSt, who has failed at life in the MSL offline prelims for years until this point. He's become weary of the OSL track it seems, and - surely inspired by fellow SKT1 teammate Canata's unlikely run up the MSL last season - has qualified himself into the Nate MSL this season. The MSL has been kind to Bisu, maybe it'll be BeSt's opportunity to get gold. Then again, with sixteen Zergs here, maybe not...
Despite the absurd amount of Zergs in this season's player pool, I really feel that the Protoss and Terran lines are quite strong this season, and should be able to overcome the wrath of the swarm and balance things out by the time the Round of 16 swings around.
Group Selection Predictions
If you've never seen a MSL Group selection process, basically it works from the bottom up. It starts with a preset group based on rankings, including last season's top eight along with the winners of the MST groups. Based on a too many statistics to list here, each player will go up and place their spots in the preset MSL groups. From there, the drama begins. The top sixteen will play bait-and-switch while they either place themselves in a better group, or screw others. The higher you are ranked on the list, the more opportunities you get to swap players. This goes on until the top seed makes the final swaps.
The Group Selection process has always been one of the wildest, most drama-filled events of the MSL. I expect this one to be no different, although the lack of firebathero sexiness will surely make me weep. Courtesy of p4ndemik over at TL, here are the initial groups:
Group A: Calm vs A2, A3 vs fOrGG
Group B: Kwanro vs B2, B3 vs Hwasin
Group C: Iris vs C2, C3 vs Flash
Group D: Jaedong vs D2, D3 vs July
Group E: Canata vs E2, E3 vs Stork
Group F: Bisu vs F2, F3 vs sAviOr
Group G: ZerO vs G2, G3 vs Kal
Group H: EffOrt vs H2, H3 vs JangBi
While this may be the initial groupings, definitely expect to see dozens of changes by the end of the night. Here are a few of my predictions for the Round of 32:The zzzZZ GroupPrediction: Pick three Zergs and insert one that knows what he's doing.
There's no doubt that there will be a ZvZ group, and unless you get Jaedong, EffOrt, and Calm into one - which will surely not happen - we'll most likely be seeing a group like type-b, hero, Calm, Shine or something boring like that.
The "LOL, Oh Hell No" GroupPrediction: BeSt, July, ZerO, sAviOr
I have a feeling BeSt will want to A. Prove that his PvZ is better then most people know it isn't and B. Defend his honor by facing July in a rematch. I expect him to fail at both lol.
July and sAviOr are both going to be in a position where they want to prove their ZvZ's as well, especially against ZerO who has slaughtered sAviOr over and over again. ZerO, as... floaty as he may seem from time to time, is no idiot, and will be more then welcome to the idea of putting himself in a group with two aging Zergs and BeSt.
The Group of DeathPrediction: Jaedong, EffOrt, Hyuk, Stork
Oh mama. We've got a huge storm brewing between these four players. Jaedong has been absolutely bombarded with questions over his ZvZ, and will most definitely be wanting a deadly group to strut his stuff in. Hyuk is really in no position to avoid this, and since he's defeated all three of these players, will most likely be trapped no matter what happens. Stork's in the same scenario. EffOrt is really going to be the key player on whether or not this group happens, but with Jaedong ahead of him in the final selections, I don't know if he'll be able to avoid this confrontation.
Other possibilities
Of all the things that go down, expect Bisu to force a rematch with Shine, and maybe also put himself in an all-Zerg group in the process. He's the kind of guy that doesn't let losses slide by and with the seemingly less-favorable map pool for the MSL this season, I think you can count on seeing this happen.
Then again, anything can happen when it comes to the MSL Group Selection.
